Read my early post from 2023 discussing the interplay of Global warming and Little Ice Age which is upon the Earth in the next 30 years here.
3 Replies to “The modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020-2053) versus Global Warming”
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A site to report about my research in solar activity and energetic particles
Dear Prof
We recently battened down the hatches here in NZ (shut down some electricity grid equipment) to ride out a solar storm. Was this just a chance perturbation? Are we still on track for a long period of very low solar activity?
I wondered if there is any instrumentation setup, or if it is even possible, to track the movement of the two key solar magnetic fields that you’ve written about?
Thanks.
Best wishes
Ron
I am surprised with this formulation that the electricity grid was shut down because of solar storm as there are no large solar flares to cause any large disruptions.
The solar magnetic field is measured by magnetograms of the full disk sun. The grand solar minimum means the this magnetic field on the solar surface is weakening that leads to a reduction of solar activity. This weakening will continue towards the minimum of cycle 25 in 2030-2032.
I am just an ordinary mechanical engineer no hot shot phycist, but I know from experience that simulations are only as good as the underlying model. So if the IPPC people omit the most important factor, i.e. the sun, then the model is incomplete. I mean common sense tells you that if you turn off the sun, earth will be cold as hell. Also the heat transfer from the sun to the earth follows the principle of radiation (Boltzman equation) , which is proportional by the 4th power of the temperatures, i.e. highly non-linear. So small change of the sun temperature can have a big impact. Add to this the fact that the energy density of radiation decreases with the distance between the objects (i.e. sun and earth), which is a a function of the power of the distance, then it becomes even more obvious that the influence of the sun must not be neclected in any climate model.
I think the fact that we have had ice ages on earth can only be explained by solar activity and not by the CO2 content in the atmosphere.