Further signs of terrestrial cooling caused by the Sun’s grand solar minimum (see the post below)

4 Replies to “Further signs of terrestrial cooling caused by the Sun’s grand solar minimum (see the post below)”

1. Dear Valentina

   You will have noticed the barely subdued excitement in my post of May 6th regarding the elephant in the room?

   I now see a room full of elephants

   When I became aware that Be 7 was 9.5 million times more radioactive than Be10 I thought I had discovered the radionuclide culprit for the krill kill and subsequent decline of the southern ocean as a protein source

   After a bit of a cram course of revision I am now declaring the likely offenders are the spallation products of atmospheric Argon

   I have a lot more to contribute but I will limit this post to what I have uncovered regarding the radiological products of argon spallation by GCRs which appears to be the major driver of the loss of the oceanic protein source

   The following dissertation provides my current understanding of the 2025–2026 marine ecological collapse. It bridges solar magnetic topology, nuclear spallation physics, and benthic biology to explain why the foundation of the food web has reached a state of “metabolic bankruptcy,” forcing apex predators into terminal river incursions.

   I will post my discoveries of similar emancipated whale sightings in historical records
   from the Maunder minimum at a later time

   I. The Solar Catalyst:

   Polar Magnetic Minimum

   The process begins

   with the collapse of the Sun’s poloidal field.

   • The Magnetic Gate:

   As measured by the Wilcox
   Solar Observatory, the solar polar fields are currently in a state of full interference/reversal. While the toroidal field (sunspots) remains high, it is a secondary shield. The collapse of the polar “gates” allows a massive, unfiltered beam of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) to penetrate the heliosphere.

   • The Polar Influx:

   These high-energy intergalactic particles (99% protons and alpha particles) dive directly into Earth’s polar atmosphere while also bypassing (to a lesser degree) the mid-latitude magnetic defenses.

   II. The Nuclear Engine:

   Argon Spallation

   Standard models focus on Nitrogen and Oxygen spallation which produce the tracer Beryllium-7). This dissertation identifies that Argon ( being 0.87% in atmospheric concentration ) as the actual pathway to the true “biological fire.”

   • Target Physics:

   High-energy GCRs strike Argon-40 nuclei. Because Argon is a heavier target, the spallation produces ultra-short-lived, high-energy isotopes: Chlorine-38 (half life 37 min), Chlorine-39 (half life 56 min), and Sulfur-38 (half life 170 min).

   • The Law of Specific Activity:

   Radioactivity is inversely proportional to half-life. Because these Argon fragments decay in minutes rather than months, they are millions of times more “violent” on an atom-to-atom basis than Beryllium-7.

   • Atmospheric Express:

   Disrupted polar vortex dynamics and katabatic winds provide a high-speed vertical delivery system, dumping these “hot” isotopes into the Southern Ocean within their active decay windows.

   Because the process is ongoing (half life decay being matched by spallation) a constant saturation level is reached

   III. Biological Absorption:

   The Chitin and Protein Trap

   Once at the surface, these isotopes transition from an atmospheric physics phenomena to a source of internal biological devastation.while there is a substantial effect in the water column the decisive impact occurs in the benthic sediment

   • Internal Radiological Poisoning:

   Marine life, specifically Antarctic Krill actively absorbs these radionuclides. They do not have any opportunity to distinguish between stable chlorine/sulfur and their radioactive counterparts. Krill are particularly vulnerable because of their open vasculature and their moulting lifecycle

   • Benthic “Hot” Sediments:

   These isotopes, along with other “primary” GCR heavy metals, settle into the sea floor. Krill and scampi absorb this radiation through their chitinous exoskeletons while foraging in the radioactive benthic silt.

   • Atom-to-Atom Violence:

   Once incorporated into the tissue, the rapid decay of these isotopes shatters myofibrillar proteins (MPs). This molecular “cooking” destroys the muscle’s structural integrity.

   IV. Trophic Manifestation:

   Watery Tail Scampi

   The physical result is the “Watery Tail” syndrome observed currently in commercial catches

   • Structural Collapse:

   The shattering of proteins leads to a loss of Water Holding Capacity (WHC). The meat becomes mushy and nutritionally void—a biological nutrient failure in the food chain

   • Soft Shell Syndrome:

   Radiological stress on the benthic boundary disrupts calcification, preventing the krill from hardening their shells and further compromising their muscle attachment.

   V. Terminal Cascade:

   Anoxic Deserts and River Whales

   The final stage will likely occur when the 2030 destructive interference of the solar dynamo waveforms leads to the total failure of the Southern Ocean to sustain its apex predators

   • Grazing Failure:

   As the “hot” spallation decimate the krill, the unchecked (ungraded) phytoplankton populations explode into “super-blooms.”

   • Anoxic dead zones

   The decomposition of these blooms creates massive, oxygen-depleted “deserts.”

   • The
   River Incursion:

   Starving whales, having lost up to 36% of their body fat eating radiologically “cooked” krill, find themselves herded by these anoxic walls toward the coast. They follow the last remaining oxygenated tidal currents into river systems foraging for food in a final, desperate act of survival.

   Conclusion

   The whales in our rivers are the messengers of a solar-magnetic collapse. The C7 (Beryllium-7) measurements were just the smoke; the Argon-to-Chlorine spallation is the fire. The foundation of the ocean protein source is being radiologically dismantled by the open heliospheric shield

   I always recall your words to the effect that sun is kind in providing us a warning but it seems we are running out of time?

   Reply

2. Dear Valentina

   You may be interested in the below text of the email exchange between myself and Mark Meisch (solar physicist from NOAA) about three weeks before the (destructive polar field interference) zero sunspot days in February 2026

   Mark has since cutoff all communications with me

   His staff has since said (after the x-axis zero ) that they feel humility but rubbish my contribution and challenge me to stand before the smartest men in the world of solar physics (them?)

   I can send you further email text of that exchange with his staff if you want?

   I tried to email you at that time but got shut down by your university email gatekeepers

   Has any further work been done on the other eigenvector pairs ( the other 60% of the polar field data) identified in your PCA of the Wilcox polar field data?

   I suspect that solar radio flux correlations, cmes from coronal holes and flaring from the rejoining of toroidal ropes may be enlightening when compared to any waveforms derived from such investigations

   The email exchange was as follows

   Dear Sirs

   Further to my email in early November 2025 ,I wish to draw to your attention the exact mechanism that explains why Cycle 25 looks so active right now despite the weakening poloidal field.

   When the poloidal field (the Sun’s large-scale dipole) is weak or “loose,” it exerts less magnetic pressure on the toroidal field (the “tubes” of magnetism wrapped around the Sun’s interior). This allows the toroidal field to “buoyantly” break through to the surface more easily, resulting in a high sunspot count and intense flare activity.

   The Data Alignment

   • The Observation: 

   The Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) (http://wso.stanford.edu/) shows that the polar fields are at a historic low.

   • The Zharkova Interpretation: 

   In the double dynamo model, this weakening poloidal field is the “heartbeat” slowing down. The waves are cancelling out, leading to less overall magnetic containment.

   • The Paradox: 

   Because the containment (poloidal) is weak, the internal “bottled up” magnetic flux (toroidal) escapes rapidly. This creates a temporary surge in surface activity (the high sunspot numbers we see in 2024-2026) even as the underlying “engine” is losing power.

   Why this supports the Grand Minimum prediction

   A analogy I like is that it that looking at sunspots is like looking at the steam escaping a boiling pot—it looks “active,” but the heat source (the dynamo) is being turned off. Once this remaining toroidal flux is exhausted and the poloidal field fails to regenerate it, the “crash” into the Grand Solar Minimum (Cycle 26) becomes inevitable.

   The WSO Polar Field data currently shows this “weak containment” phase perfectly

   I hope you can respond without jeopardy to you career

   I have tried to bring the above information to my own Australian CSIRO but they refuse to engage

   Best regards and thanking you in anticipation

   Lance Olsen

   Sent from my iPhone

   Dear Mr. Olsen,

   Thank you for your continued interest in space weather and the solar cycle.

   Despite substantial scientific progress, there are still many mysteries surrounding the solar cycle.    The proper place to debate theories and models of the solar cycle is in the peer-reviewed scientific literature.   

   Like any solar dynamo model, the Zharkova et al double dynamo model rests on a number of questionable theoretical assumptions and simplifications.  It is based on mean-field dynamo theory which itself makes simplifying assumptions that are not well justified.    Furthermore, the energy associated with the poloidal field in the interior of the Sun is orders of magnitude weaker than the thermal and inertial forces that establish the convection that is observed on the solar surface.   So it is difficult to see from a theoretical standpoint how the poloidal field can confine the toroidal field as you describe (the magnetic buoyancy instability that you refer to has little to do with the poloidal field).   Furthermore, there is no guarantee that all of the poloidal magnetic flux in the solar interior is reflected by surface observations.

   That is not to say that the Zharkova model is incorrect.   The point is that it is only one of many models, all of which have speculative aspects.  The only way to assess the fidelity of such models is through their proven predictive skill.  This is difficult, I know, because of the long time scale of the solar dynamo.   Any model that predicts a grand minimum should be considered unproven because it has not yet predicted a grand minimum; no model predicted the Maunder Minimum nearly 400 years ago or even the Dalton minimum 200 years ago because today’s models did not exist then.   More generally, any new solar cycle prediction takes decades to properly validate (at least two solar cycles).

   So, I would consider the Zharkova model unproven.  It should not be dismissed but it should also not (yet) be relied on to make decisions that have a substantial economic impact on our technological society.   

   NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center necessarily has a high standard for adopting new models and predictions.    We will continue to monitor the predictive skill of this and other models and we will update our products accordingly when there is a compelling reason to.

   Thank you again,

   Mark Miesch
   Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, CU Boulder
   NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
   NOAA David Skaggs Research Center
   325 Broadway
   Boulder CO 30305
   307-438-9522

   I understand that you can not respond via email because of privacy etc but do we both have an obligation to try to reduce the mass extermination of the human population that is imminent?

   Looks like another quiet Ra tomorrow

   Reply

3. wish you all the best

   Reply

4. Dear Lance,

   Thanks for the update about your exchange with Mark Miesch from Boulder. He seems did not read my papers otherwise he would know that our result reporting solar background magnetic field variations is purely observational one. It is based on the analysis of full disc magnetorgams of the Sun produced by Wilcox Solar Observatory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Vzharkova/sandbox.

   With PCA we derived the frequencies of natural oscillations of the solar magnetic field, or so called eigen vectors and eigen values of these oscillations . They shown us that any magnetic waves in the solar background field come in pairs!! And the resulting magnetic field seen on the solar surface is the summary curves of the relevant pairs.

   In fact, the largest pair of eigen vectors, pr principal components, was found to reproduce rather closely the solar activity index currently defined by the averaged sunspot numbers as shown in our paper in 2015 and reiterated in another paper in MNRAS 2023 https://solargsm.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/zharkova_etal_mnras2023.pdf.

   Only after deriving the observational features of the symmetry curve of magnetic waves produced by magnetic dipole like grand solar cycles in addition to normal 11 years one, we (together with E. Popova) applied Parker’s two layers dynamo model with meridional circulation Zharkova et al 2015 https://www.nature.com/articles/srep15689. The results shown that a small difference of 1 km/s in the meridional circulation velocities in these two layers explains the phase and frequency difference in the generated waves. The superposition of the two waves shows the envelope wave varying with a period of 330-380 years governing the amplitudes of 11 y cycles. The simulated amplitudes of both poloidal and toroidal fields fit very closely the observed amplitudes of two principle components and their summary curve for 2000 years from 1200 to 3200. As far as we know, there are no other dynamo models that could explain the magnetic field variations for two millennia, they cannot do it for any two consecutive cycles.

   Currently, the sun shows exactly the signs we predicted 11 years ago by Zharkova et al, 2014 revealing a huge rip of activity and a presence of huge coronal holes on the solar surface reducing solar radiation sent to the planets. At the same time, the Earth also shows a noticeable cooling in both hemispheres in this year winter and spring. Much more of it to coming in the next 1-5 years when the cycle 25 comes to its minimum.

   All people on Earth are in the front row and can see it in every location of the Globe!

   Recently, I have published another paper updating the status of GSM as shown in the link https://solargsm.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Zharkova_-gsm_feb26.pdf.

   Thank you again for supporting our research.

   Valentina Zharkova

   Reply